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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Hartberg

S S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Salzburg

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,5

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 7. · Salzburg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
2	Altach	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
3	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
4	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+5	+4.2	4
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.9	3
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
8	Ried	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.4	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
10	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.0	1
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-4	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
2	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.7	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Altach	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Grazer AK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
8	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
9	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
10	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
11	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
2	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
6	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
8	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
9	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
10	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
11	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.