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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
BW Linz
T U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Salzburg
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
58%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

24% Possession 76%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match BW Linz 9. · Salzburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 13 9 2 2 +14 29
2 Austria Vienna 13 7 3 3 +6 24
3 SK Rapid 12 6 5 1 +4 23
4 Salzburg 10 5 3 2 +3 18
5 Wolfsberger AC 13 5 2 6 +4 17
6 Hartberg 12 4 4 4 +0 16
7 A. Klagenfurt 11 4 3 4 -5 15
8 LASK 12 4 2 6 -1 14
9 BW Linz 12 4 2 6 -4 14
10 Tirol 13 3 3 7 -7 12
11 Altach 12 2 3 7 -5 9
12 Grazer AK 13 1 6 6 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

BW Linz Salzburg
44′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Ronivaldo
46′
2–0 A. Briedl
58′
61′
🔁 A. Terzić
↦ D. Guindo
62′
🔁 M. Yeo
↦ K. Konaté
62′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ M. Diambou
62′
🔁 Stefan Bajčetić
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
P. Mensah 🔁
↦ A. Briedl
65′
F. Strauß 🔁
↦ A. Schmidt
75′
81′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ B. Clark
Ronivaldo 🟨
85′
K. Dobras 🔁
↦ Ronivaldo
87′
Paul Mensah 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

BW Linz

4-3-3
1 R. Vítek G
28 Anderson D
15 M. Maranda D
16 M. Moormann D
60 S. Pirkl D
20 S. Seidl M
18 S. Diabaté M
19 A. Briedl M
13 A. Schmidt F
9 Ronivaldo F
27 T. Goiginger F
Bench (7)
10 P. Mensah
2 F. Strauß
30 K. Dobras
31 K. Radulovic
29 M. Ibrahimi
14 J. Gölles
5 D. Mitrović

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Salzburg

4-3-3
24 A. Schlager G
7 N. Capaldo D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
29 D. Guindo D
10 B. Clark M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
15 M. Diambou M
45 D. Nene F
19 K. Konaté F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (7)
3 A. Terzić
49 M. Yeo
18 M. Bidstrup
8 Stefan Bajčetić
28 A. Daghim
1 J. Blaswich
39 L. Morgalla

Coach: P. Lijnders

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.