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Bundesliga
Referee: C Ciochirca
1–0
Full-time
A. Lustenau
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,1
0,4
Conceded
1,1
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
8 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 7. · A. Lustenau 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 12 8 3 1 +12 27
2 Salzburg 12 8 2 2 +19 26
3 LASK 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 A. Klagenfurt 12 5 6 1 +6 21
5 Hartberg 12 5 4 3 +4 19
6 SK Rapid 12 3 6 3 +10 15
7 Austria Vienna 12 4 3 5 +0 15
8 Wolfsberger AC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
9 Altach 12 3 4 5 -6 13
10 BW Linz 12 3 4 5 -10 13
11 Tirol 12 1 2 9 -15 5
12 A. Lustenau 12 0 3 9 -23 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Ciochirca · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.