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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Mainz

S S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Hertha

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,7

4,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,7

3,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

4,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-3,3

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 18. · Hertha 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	M'gladbach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.