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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Benfica

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Gil Vicente

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 52%

83%

20%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

67%

40%

Both score Ø 37%

33%

40%

Average goals

3,8

1,6

Scored

3,0

0,6

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,4

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 48%

75%

20%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

3,3

1,6

Scored

2,8

0,6

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Gil Vicente 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Porto	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Tondela	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Gil Vicente	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
11	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Guimaraes	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Aves	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
5	Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Rio Ave	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.