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Ekstraklasa

Rakow

T T S T T

2–0

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,4

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 13. · Arka Gdynia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	8	4	3	1	+7	15
2	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	3	0	+5	15
3	Legia	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Cracovia	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Lech Poznan	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Piast Gliwice	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Wisla	7	3	1	3	+4	10
9	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Zaglebie	8	2	2	4	+0	8
12	Wisla Plock	7	2	1	4	-9	7
13	Rakow	7	2	0	5	-5	6
14	Arka Gdynia	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	LKS Lodz	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	Korona Kielce	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+4	8
4	Jagiellonia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Legia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Arka Gdynia	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Lech Poznan	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	LKS Lodz	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Korona Kielce	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Legia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	LKS Lodz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Wisla Plock	4	1	0	3	-9	3
13	Wisla	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Gornik Zabrze	4	0	1	3	-4	1
15	Zaglebie	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Arka Gdynia	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.