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Bundesliga
Referee: Harm Osmers
Ein Frankfurt
S T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Mainz
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 39%
47%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
69%
66%
Both score Ø 61%
66%
56%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 6. · Mainz 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 23 6 4 +52 75
2 Dortmund 33 22 7 4 +35 73
3 RB Leipzig 33 19 9 5 +35 66
4 M'gladbach 33 16 7 10 +15 55
5 Leverkusen 33 17 4 12 +13 55
6 Ein Frankfurt 32 15 9 8 +18 54
7 Wolfsburg 33 15 7 11 +5 52
8 Hoffenheim 33 13 12 8 +20 51
9 Werder Bremen 33 13 11 9 +8 50
10 Hertha 33 11 10 12 -4 43
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 12 5 16 -17 41
12 Mainz 32 10 7 15 -15 37
13 Freiburg 33 7 12 14 -19 33
14 Augsburg 33 8 8 17 -13 32
15 Schalke 04 33 8 8 17 -18 32
16 Stuttgart 33 7 6 20 -38 27
17 Hannover 33 5 6 22 -39 21
18 Nurnberg 33 3 10 20 -38 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
23′
🟨 Moussa Niakhaté
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Donati
↦ D. Brosinski
53′
A. Ujah 0–1
J. Mateta
57′
A. Ujah 0–2
J. Gbamin
S. Haller 🔁
↦ S. Falette
61′
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ G. Fernandes
61′
Filip Kostić 🟨
77′
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ L. Jović
77′
81′
🔁 R. Baku
↦ D. Latza
90′
🔁 N. Bungert
↦ A. Ujah
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
31 K. Trapp G
19 D. Abraham D
13 M. Hinteregger D
3 S. Falette D
24 D. da Costa M
20 M. Hasebe M
5 G. Fernandes M
10 F. Kostić M
11 M. Gaćinović M
4 A. Rebić F
8 L. Jović F
Bench (7)
9 S. Haller
6 J. de Guzmán
39 Gonçalo Paciência
22 T. Chandler
16 Lucas Torró
1 F. Rønnow
18 A. Touré

Coach: A. Hütter

Mainz

4-3-1-2
22 F. Müller G
18 D. Brosinski D
42 A. Hack D
3 Aarón Martín D
19 M. Niakhate D
6 D. Latza M
25 J. Gbamin M
14 P. Malong M
20 A. Ujah F
5 J. Boëtius M
9 J. Mateta F
Bench (7)
2 G. Donati
34 R. Baku
26 N. Bungert
8 L. Öztunali
21 K. Onisiwo
27 R. Zentner
10 A. Maxim

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Harm Osmers · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.