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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S
5–0
Full-time
Vitesse
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 68%
75%
60%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 68%
75%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 14
12 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Vitesse 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +14 13
2 Vitesse 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 +9 10
4 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Twente 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Willem II 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 VVV Venlo 6 3 0 3 -3 9
8 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 2 2 -3 8
9 Utrecht 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Feyenoord 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -5 5
14 Groningen 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 -5 4
16 FC Emmen 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 For Sittard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Waalwijk 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
1–0 D. Malen
Bruma
18′
2–0 D. Malen
M. Ihattaren
36′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 D. Malen
46′
58′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ J. Grot
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
62′
64′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ T. Matavž
K. Mitroglou 🔁
↦ M. Ihattaren
71′
73′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
R. Doan 🔁
↦ Bruma
79′
4–0 D. Malen
83′
5–0 D. Malen
89′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
4 N. Viergever D
5 T. Baumgartl D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
18 P. Rosario M
24 M. Ihattaren M
7 Bruma F
10 S. Bergwijn F
9 D. Malen F
Bench (9)
19 C. Gakpo
11 K. Mitroglou
25 R. Doan
21 R. Ruiter
41 M. van de Meulenhof
6 D. Schwaab
3 Toni Lato
33 J. Teze
32 M. Sadílek

Coach: M. van Bommel

Vitesse

4-4-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 J. Lelieveld D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
5 M. Clark D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
14 O. Tannane M
7 J. Grot M
Bench (7)
20 N. Dicko
29 T. Buitink
25 N. Foor
18 T. Hajek
1 K. Lamprou
13 O. Darfalou
36 P. Vroegh

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,67
B
6,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.