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2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim

S U T T U

3–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

15 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 1

5 Corners 8

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 11. · Holstein Kiel 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Stuttgart	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Greuther Furth	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Osnabruck	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Bielefeld	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Karlsruhe	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Regensburg	5	2	1	2	+4	7
10	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Heidenheim	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Hannover	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	St Pauli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Dresden	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Holstein Kiel	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Darmstadt	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Bochum	5	0	2	3	-4	2
18	Wehen	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Osnabruck	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Greuther Furth	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Bielefeld	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Dresden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Heidenheim	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Wehen	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	+4	4
4	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Osnabruck	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Hannover	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Stuttgart	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	St Pauli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Wehen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Dresden	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Darmstadt	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.