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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Sociedad
S T U S T
2–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 14. · Ath Madrid 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Levante 4 2 0 2 +1 6
6 Villarreal 4 1 2 1 +2 5
7 Osasuna 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Alaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Barcelona 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Granada 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valladolid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Mallorca 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Getafe 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Leganes 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Llorente
↦ T. Lemar
51′
🟨 Kieran Trippier
57′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ João Félix
1–0 M. Ødegaard
Mikel Merino
58′
60′
🟨 Marcos Llorente
2–0 Nacho Monreal
61′
66′
🔁 Adán
↦ J. Oblak
69′
🟨 Diego Costa
Willian José 🔁
↦ A. Isak
73′
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ Portu
83′
Zurutuza 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
3 Diego Llorente D
20 Nacho Monreal D
5 Igor Zubeldia M
8 Mikel Merino M
7 Portu M
21 Martin Ødegaard M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
19 Alexander Isak F
Bench (7)
1 Álex Remiro
24 Robin Le Normand
16 Ander Guevara
17 David Zurutuza
23 Luca Sangalli
11 Adnan Januzaj
9 Willian José

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 Jan Oblak G
23 Kieran Trippier D
15 Stefan Savić D
2 José Giménez D
12 Renan Lodi D
20 Vitolo M
6 Koke M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
11 Thomas Lemar M
19 Diego Costa F
7 João Félix F
Bench (7)
1 Antonio Adán
22 Mario Hermoso
18 Felipe
4 Santiago Arias
16 Héctor Herrera
14 Marcos Llorente
10 Ángel Correa

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,73
U
3,15
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.