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Serie B

Ascoli

S T

2–0

Full-time

Livorno

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Livorno

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 9. · Livorno 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Pordenone	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Perugia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Virtus Entella	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Crotone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Spezia	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Pescara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Livorno	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Trapani	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Juve Stabia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Cittadella	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pordenone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Perugia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Chievo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Crotone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Livorno	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Trapani	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
2	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Crotone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Perugia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Benevento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cosenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Livorno	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pordenone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Trapani	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.