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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Mainz

T U S S T

1–3

Full-time

M'gladbach

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

21 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 16. · M'gladbach 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.