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LaLiga2
Las Palmas
T T U U U
0–3
Full-time
Almeria
S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 26
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 17. · Almeria 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Zaragoza 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Almeria 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Vallecano 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Girona 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Numancia 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Alcorcon 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Albacete 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Ponferradina 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Sp Gijon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Malaga 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Mirandes 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Tenerife 4 1 1 2 -5 4
17 Las Palmas 4 0 3 1 -1 3
18 Lugo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
19 La Coruna 4 1 0 3 -4 3
20 Extremadura UD 4 0 2 2 -2 2
21 Santander 5 0 2 3 -4 2
22 Oviedo 4 0 1 3 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,02
B ✓
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.