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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Bordeaux

S T U S U

2–0

Full-time

Metz

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bordeaux 11. · Metz 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Rennes	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Lille	5	3	0	2	+2	9
4	Nice	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Angers	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+8	8
7	Reims	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Brest	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Metz	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Strasbourg	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Angers	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+6	4
6	Reims	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Metz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	St Etienne	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Metz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Lille	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Angers	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.