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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Aberdeen
S T U S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,0
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · ST Johnstone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Rangers 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Livingston 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Aberdeen 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 -2 4
7 Ross County 4 1 1 2 -3 4
8 Hamilton 5 1 1 3 -4 4
9 Hibernian 4 1 1 2 -7 4
10 St Mirren 4 1 0 3 -2 3
11 Hearts 4 0 2 2 -3 2
12 ST Johnstone 4 0 2 2 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
1–0 R. Hedges
L. Ferguson
28′
43′
M. O'Halloran 1–1
S. Tanser
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Liam Gordon
J. Gallagher 🔁
↦ C. Bryson
56′
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ N. McGinn
66′
77′
🔁 D. Wright
↦ M. OHalloran
78′
🟨 Anthony Ralston
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ F. Ojo
80′
83′
🔁 C. Hendry
↦ S. May
91′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ M. Kennedy
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
6 M. Devlin D
3 G. Leigh D
33 Z. Vyner D
7 C. Bryson M
22 F. Ojo M
10 N. McGinn F
11 R. Hedges M
19 L. Ferguson M
16 S. Cosgrove F
Bench (7)
21 J. Gallagher
18 C. McLennan
28 J. Wilson
20 T. Černý
2 S. Logan
25 B. Anderson
9 C. Main

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

4-4-2
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser D
23 L. Gordon D
15 J. Kerr M
21 A. Ralston D
8 M. Davidson M
33 M. Kennedy M
19 J. Holt M
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
17 M. O'Halloran F
Bench (7)
7 D. Wright
22 C. Hendry
10 D. Wotherspoon
2 W. Duffy
11 D. Swanson
5 M. Vihmann
12 E. Parish

Coach: T. Wright

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U ✓
3,90
B
5,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.