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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schmidt

Bayern Munich

S U S U S

6–1

Full-time

Mainz

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%

19 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 6. · Mainz 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	M'gladbach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
14	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Paderborn	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.