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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Brest

U U S T

0–0

Full-time

Rennes

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 54%

25%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 12. · Rennes 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Rennes	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Lille	5	3	0	2	+2	9
4	Nice	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Angers	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+8	8
7	Reims	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Brest	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Metz	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Strasbourg	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Angers	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+6	4
6	Reims	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Metz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	St Etienne	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Metz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Lille	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Angers	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.