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Serie A
Referee: M Irrati
Fiorentina
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Juventus
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 16. · Juventus 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Torino 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Genoa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Verona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Parma 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Napoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Udinese 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Roma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Fiorentina 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Spal 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Cagliari 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Lecce 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Sampdoria 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Juventus
8′
🔁 Federico Bernardeschi
↦ Douglas Costa
Martín Cáceres 🟨
10′
14′
🟨 Miralem Pjanić
Federico Chiesa 🟨
36′
44′
🔁 Rodrigo Bentancur
↦ Miralem Pjanić
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Matthijs De Ligt
62′
🔁 Juan Cuadrado
↦ Danilo
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🔁
↦ Franck Ribéry
69′
Gaetano Castrovilli 🟨
77′
82′
🟨 Rodrigo Bentancur
Federico Ceccherini 🔁
↦ Germán Pezzella
83′
Szymon Żurkowski 🔁
↦ Gaetano Castrovilli
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-5-2
69 Bartłomiej Drągowski G
4 Nikola Milenković D
20 Germán Pezzella D
22 Martín Cáceres D
21 Pol Lirola M
78 Erick Pulgar M
5 Milan Badelj M
8 Gaetano Castrovilli M
29 Dalbert M
25 Federico Chiesa F
7 Franck Ribéry F
Bench (12)
1 Pietro Terracciano
17 Federico Ceccherini
23 Lorenzo Venuti
93 Aleksa Terzić
6 Luca Ranieri
27 Szymon Żurkowski
19 Tofol Montiel
15 Sebastián Cristóforo
10 Kevin-Prince Boateng
28 Dušan Vlahović
11 Riccardo Sottil
18 Rachid Ghezzal

Coach: V. Montella

Juventus

4-4-2
1 Wojciech Szczęsny G
13 Danilo D
19 Leonardo Bonucci D
4 Matthijs De Ligt D
12 Alex Sandro D
11 Douglas Costa M
6 Sami Khedira M
5 Miralem Pjanić M
14 Blaise Matuidi M
21 Gonzalo Higuaín F
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
Bench (11)
77 Gianluigi Buffon
31 Carlo Pinsoglio
28 Merih Demiral
24 Daniele Rugani
16 Juan Cuadrado
23 Emre Can
8 Aaron Ramsey
33 Federico Bernardeschi
30 Rodrigo Bentancur
25 Adrien Rabiot
10 Paulo Dybala

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,00
U ✓
3,88
B
1,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.