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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Utrecht
S S U T T
3–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
23 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 9. · FC Emmen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +14 13
2 Vitesse 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 +9 10
4 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Twente 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Willem II 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 VVV Venlo 6 3 0 3 -3 9
8 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 2 2 -3 8
9 Utrecht 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Feyenoord 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -5 5
14 Groningen 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 -5 4
16 FC Emmen 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 For Sittard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Waalwijk 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht FC Emmen
34′
🟨 Michael Chacon
1–0 Adrián Dalmau
S. Gustafson
38′
43′
🟨 Jan-Niklas Beste
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Nikolai Laursen
2–0 G. Kerk
A. Maher
54′
58′
M. de Leeuw 2–1
N. Laursen
Willem Janssen 🟨
65′
Adam Maher 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 R. Roosken
↦ L. Slagveer
75′
🔁 F. Ugrinic
↦ T. Hiariej
I. Abass 🔁
↦ S. Gustafson
80′
81′
🔁 W. Marinus
↦ M. Chacón
G. Troupée 🔁
↦ B. Ramselaar
85′
86′
🟨 Sergio Peña
Issah Abass 🟨
90′
J. Bahebeck 🔁
↦ Adrián Dalmau
91′
3–1 J. Bahebeck
G. Kerk
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
16 M. Paes G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
17 S. Klaiber D
3 J. Hoogma D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek F
10 S. Gustafson M
25 B. Ramselaar M
11 Adrián Dalmau F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (8)
21 I. Abass
20 G. Troupée
9 J. Bahebeck
28 U. Emanuelson
33 T. St. Jago
1 D. Jensen
32 V. Černý
19 P. Joosten

Coach: J. van den Brom

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
4 N. Bakker D
2 M. Heylen D
23 G. Bijl D
39 J. Beste D
15 T. Hiariej M
8 M. de Leeuw F
20 M. Chacón M
17 S. Peña M
29 L. Slagveer M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (11)
18 R. Roosken
21 F. Ugrinic
7 W. Marinus
12 F. Quispel
32 R. de Vos
16 R. Jalving
14 F. Görgülü
93 S. van der Lei
25 J. Arias
3 K. Veendorp
30 H. Bos

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,66
B
8,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.