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Bundesliga

Referee: Martin Petersen

Hertha

T U U U S

0–2

Full-time

Mainz

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

23%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

64%

59%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

9 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 11. · Mainz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	22	18	2	2	+36	56
2	RB Leipzig	22	11	5	6	+6	38
3	Dortmund	22	10	7	5	+18	37
4	Ein Frankfurt	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Leverkusen	22	9	8	5	+12	35
6	Schalke 04	22	9	7	6	+5	34
7	Augsburg	22	8	7	7	+4	31
8	Hoffenheim	22	8	7	7	+1	31
9	Hannover	22	8	7	7	-1	31
10	M'gladbach	22	9	4	9	-4	31
11	Hertha	22	7	9	6	+2	30
12	Freiburg	22	5	10	7	-14	25
13	Wolfsburg	22	4	12	6	-3	24
14	Stuttgart	22	7	3	12	-9	24
15	Werder Bremen	22	5	8	9	-6	23
16	Mainz	22	5	5	12	-15	20
17	Hamburg	22	4	5	13	-15	17
18	FC Koln	22	3	4	15	-22	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	10	1	0	+25	31
2	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Stuttgart	11	7	1	3	+4	22
4	Hoffenheim	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+7	21
6	M'gladbach	11	6	2	3	+3	20
7	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+7	19
8	Augsburg	11	5	4	2	+7	19
9	Schalke 04	11	5	4	2	+5	19
10	Dortmund	11	5	3	3	+11	18
11	Freiburg	11	4	6	1	+3	18
12	Hertha	11	4	4	3	+1	16
13	Mainz	11	5	1	5	-2	16
14	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	3	4	+2	15
15	Wolfsburg	11	2	7	2	+0	13
16	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-1	13
17	Hamburg	11	3	3	5	-3	12
18	FC Koln	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+3	21
3	Dortmund	11	5	4	2	+7	19
4	Leverkusen	11	4	4	3	+5	16
5	Schalke 04	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Hertha	11	3	5	3	+1	14
7	RB Leipzig	11	4	2	5	-5	14
8	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Wolfsburg	11	2	5	4	-3	11
10	M'gladbach	11	3	2	6	-7	11
11	Werder Bremen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
12	Hoffenheim	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Hannover	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Freiburg	11	1	4	6	-17	7
15	Hamburg	11	1	2	8	-12	5
16	FC Koln	11	1	2	8	-13	5
17	Mainz	11	0	4	7	-13	4
18	Stuttgart	11	0	2	9	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.