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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Schlager

Mainz

U S T U T

0–0

Full-time

Hertha

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

23 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 9. · Hertha 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+14	14
2	Werder Bremen	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Freiburg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Schalke 04	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Hannover	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Dortmund	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	M'gladbach	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Stuttgart	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Hannover	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Nurnberg	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.