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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Dundee United
T S S T T
0–0
Full-time
Livingston
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 17%
28%
6%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 0,89
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 7. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 36 23 8 5 +32 +14.2 77
2 Celtic 36 24 4 8 +29 +24.0 76
3 Rangers 36 19 12 5 +31 +21.1 69
4 Motherwell 36 15 13 8 +23 +8.8 58
5 Hibernian 36 14 12 10 +14 +0.7 54
6 Falkirk 36 14 7 15 -6 +3.3 49
7 Dundee United 36 10 13 13 -11 -12.1 43
8 Aberdeen 36 11 7 18 -12 -13.7 40
9 Dundee 36 10 9 17 -18 -11.4 39
10 Kilmarnock 36 8 10 18 -23 -14.0 34
11 St Mirren 36 7 9 20 -27 -3.7 30
12 Livingston 36 2 14 20 -32 -17.1 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Livingston
20′
🟨 Cammy Kerr
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Emmanuel Danso
Panutche Camará 🟨
62′
C. Sibbald 🔁
↦ P. Camara
62′
I. Dolcek 🔁
↦ N. Farrugia
62′
O. Stirton 🔁
↦ Z. Sapsford
62′
J. Eskesen 🔁
↦ J. Russell
68′
70′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ S. Pittman
74′
🟨 Brooklyn Kabongolo
76′
🔁 J. Zimmerman
↦ E. Danso
76′
🔁 B. Fati
↦ C. Montano
76′
🔁 A. Denholm
↦ R. Muirhead
S. Constable 🔁
↦ R. Strain
83′
86′
🟨 Joshua Zimmerman
86′
ℹ️ Joshua Zimmerman
VAR: Penalty cancelled
87′
🔁 S. Culbert
↦ L. Smith
Scott Constable 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
25 D. Richards G
37 S. Cleall-Harding D
3 B. Esselink D
6 R. Graham D
2 R. Strain M
5 V. Sevelj M
8 P. Camara M
11 W. Ferry M
20 N. Farrugia F
9 Z. Sapsford F
77 J. Russell F
Bench (9)
31 R. Adams
14 C. Sibbald
23 K. Keresztes
10 J. Eskesen
19 I. Dolcek
36 M. Watters
4 I. Iovu
39 S. Constable
34 O. Stirton

Coach: Jim Goodwin

Livingston

4-2-3-1
28 J. Prior G
2 C. Kerr
23 B. Kabongolo D
19 D. Finlayson D
26 C. Montano D
20 E. Danso M
25 M. Tait M
15 L. Smith M
8 S. Pittman M
17 S. May M
9 R. Muirhead F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
10 B. McKay
29 J. Zimmerman
40 S. Lawal
27 D. Wilson
24 M. Sylla
3 B. Fati
6 A. Denholm
36 S. Culbert

Coach: Marvin Bartley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,95
B
4,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.