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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

Dundee

U T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Aberdeen

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

57%

32%

Both score Ø 41%

46%

35%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,78 xG 1,29

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dundee 9. · Aberdeen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	38	26	4	8	+32	+26.0	82
2	Hearts	38	24	8	6	+33	+12.7	80
3	Rangers	38	20	12	6	+33	+21.4	72
4	Motherwell	38	16	13	9	+23	+9.0	61
5	Hibernian	38	15	12	11	+14	+0.4	57
6	Falkirk	38	14	7	17	-12	+2.6	49
7	Dundee United	37	10	14	13	-11	-11.6	44
8	Aberdeen	37	11	7	19	-14	-14.6	40
9	Dundee	37	10	9	18	-20	-14.4	39
10	Kilmarnock	37	9	10	18	-21	-11.1	37
11	St Mirren	37	8	9	20	-25	-2.8	33
12	Livingston	37	2	15	20	-32	-17.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	15	4	0	+26	+8.0	49
2	Celtic	19	15	1	3	+28	+17.7	46
3	Rangers	19	11	5	3	+18	+16.0	38
4	Motherwell	19	10	6	3	+19	+11.3	36
5	Hibernian	19	8	6	5	+13	+5.0	30
6	Dundee	18	8	4	6	+2	-6.3	28
7	Dundee United	19	7	7	5	+2	-2.4	28
8	Aberdeen	19	7	5	7	+5	-4.8	26
9	Falkirk	20	7	5	8	-1	+5.2	26
10	Kilmarnock	19	7	4	8	+0	+2.5	25
11	St Mirren	18	5	5	8	-11	+1.4	20
12	Livingston	17	1	8	8	-9	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	19	11	3	5	+4	+8.3	36
2	Rangers	19	9	7	3	+15	+5.4	34
3	Hearts	19	9	4	6	+7	+4.6	31
4	Hibernian	19	7	6	6	+1	-4.6	27
5	Motherwell	19	6	7	6	+4	-2.3	25
6	Falkirk	18	7	2	9	-11	-2.7	23
7	Dundee United	18	3	7	8	-13	-9.1	16
8	Aberdeen	18	4	2	12	-19	-9.8	14
9	St Mirren	19	3	4	12	-14	-4.2	13
10	Kilmarnock	18	2	6	10	-21	-13.5	12
11	Dundee	19	2	5	12	-22	-8.0	11
12	Livingston	20	1	7	12	-23	-12.0	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.