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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Motherwell
U S S S U
3–2
Full-time
Dundee United
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
22%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
51%
57%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
49%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
22 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Dundee United 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 32 3 3 +80 99
2 Rangers 38 29 5 4 +56 92
3 Aberdeen 38 18 3 17 -4 57
4 Hearts 38 15 9 14 +6 54
5 Hibernian 38 15 7 16 -2 52
6 Motherwell 37 13 8 16 +1 47
7 St Mirren 38 12 10 16 -18 46
8 Livingston 38 13 7 18 -24 46
9 ST Johnstone 38 12 7 19 -18 43
10 Kilmarnock 37 10 7 20 -27 37
11 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
12 Dundee United 37 8 7 22 -29 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Apr -23 Motherwell – Dundee United 1–2 29. Oct -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 0–1 3. Sep -22 Motherwell – Dundee United 0–0 30. Apr -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 1–0 9. Feb -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 2–0

Match report

Motherwell Dundee United
1–0 K. van Veen ⚽
S. Goss
5′
29′
ℹ️ Steven Fletcher
VAR: Penalty confirmed
31′
⚽ J. McGrath 1–1
Half-time 1–2
49′
⚽ S. Fletcher 1–2
P. Pawlett
Lennon Miller 🟨
52′
Shane Blaney 🟨
56′
C. Slattery 🔁
↦ L. Miller
64′
J. Obika 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
65′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
65′
65′
🔁 M. Anim Cudjoe
↦ G. Middleton
65′
🔁 K. Fotheringham
↦ D. Levitt
2–2 B. Spittal ⚽
K. van Veen
69′
71′
🔁 R. MacLeod
↦ P. Pawlett
3–2 M. Johnston ⚽
J. Furlong
82′
86′
🔁 M. Thomson
↦ S. Fletcher
D. Cornelius 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
27 S. Goss M
38 L. Miller M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
21 M. Mandron F
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
8 C. Slattery
99 J. Obika
22 M. Johnston
18 D. Cornelius
17 S. McKinstry
15 J. Aitchison
26 R. Tierney
49 M. Ferrie
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Dundee United

4-2-3-1
31 J. Newman G
22 K. Freeman D
27 L. Ayina D
6 R. Graham D
16 A. Behich D
14 C. Sibbald M
19 D. Levitt M
15 G. Middleton M
18 J. McGrath M
8 P. Pawlett M
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
25 K. Fotheringham
44 R. MacLeod
39 M. Thomson
23 I. Harkes
7 I. Niskanen
4 C. Mulgrew
1 M. Birighitti
3 S. McMann

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
🔒
U
3,63
🔒
B
3,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
U2,5
1,99
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.