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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Motherwell

T S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 27%

30%

24%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

48%

Both score Ø 55%

61%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

17 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	33	30	2	1	+78	92
2	Rangers	33	25	4	4	+47	79
3	Aberdeen	33	17	2	14	+0	53
4	Hearts	33	14	6	13	+7	48
5	Hibernian	33	13	5	15	-3	44
6	St Mirren	33	12	8	13	-11	44
7	Livingston	34	12	6	16	-21	42
8	Motherwell	33	10	7	16	-4	37
9	ST Johnstone	33	9	6	18	-20	33
10	Dundee United	33	8	7	18	-22	31
11	Kilmarnock	33	8	7	18	-29	31
12	Ross County	34	8	6	20	-22	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	16	1	0	+39	49
2	Rangers	16	14	2	0	+33	44
3	Aberdeen	17	12	1	4	+24	37
4	Hearts	16	11	1	4	+17	34
5	St Mirren	17	9	4	4	+5	31
6	Livingston	17	8	4	5	-1	28
7	Hibernian	16	8	3	5	+8	27
8	Kilmarnock	16	7	5	4	-3	26
9	Dundee United	17	6	2	9	-7	20
10	Ross County	18	5	3	10	-8	18
11	Motherwell	16	4	3	9	-6	15
12	ST Johnstone	16	3	4	9	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	16	14	1	1	+39	43
2	Rangers	17	11	2	4	+14	35
3	Motherwell	17	6	4	7	+2	22
4	ST Johnstone	17	6	2	9	-12	20
5	Hibernian	17	5	2	10	-11	17
6	Aberdeen	16	5	1	10	-24	16
7	Hearts	17	3	5	9	-10	14
8	Livingston	17	4	2	11	-20	14
9	St Mirren	16	3	4	9	-16	13
10	Ross County	16	3	3	10	-14	12
11	Dundee United	16	2	5	9	-15	11
12	Kilmarnock	17	1	2	14	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.