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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Kilmarnock
T T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
23%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Motherwell 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 24 1 1 +64 73
2 Rangers 26 20 4 2 +38 64
3 Hearts 26 12 6 8 +8 42
4 Hibernian 26 11 4 11 +1 37
5 St Mirren 26 10 6 10 -7 36
6 Livingston 25 10 5 10 -10 35
7 Aberdeen 26 10 2 14 -12 32
8 ST Johnstone 26 9 3 14 -12 30
9 Motherwell 26 7 5 14 -8 26
10 Kilmarnock 26 6 5 15 -25 23
11 Ross County 26 5 6 15 -19 21
12 Dundee United 25 5 5 15 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Dec -22 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 27. Aug -22 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 2–1 1. May -21 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–0 20. Mar -21 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 4–1 10. Feb -21 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 0–1

Match report

Kilmarnock Motherwell
1–0 S. Robinson ⚽
C. Doidge
17′
Christian Doidge 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
Liam Polworth 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Dan Casey
65′
🔁 C. Slattery
↦ D. Cornelius
72′
🟨 Kevin van Veen
79′
🔁 J. Aitchison
↦ S. Goss
79′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ M. Johnston
B. Wales 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
84′
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ A. Power
84′
R. Alebiosu 🔁
↦ L. Chambers
85′
Rory McKenzie 🟨
89′
90′
⚽ C. Slattery 1–1
91′
🟨 Callum Slattery
92′
🔁 B. Mugabi
↦ J. Furlong
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 S. Walker G
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
2 L. Mayo D
11 D. Armstrong M
31 L. Polworth M
4 A. Power M
24 L. Chambers M
7 R. McKenzie F
26 C. Doidge F
16 S. Robinson F
Bench (9)
29 B. Wales
17 B. Lyons
25 R. Alebiosu
6 C. Stokes
10 Jordan Jones
21 K. McInroy
1 Z. Hemming
8 B. Alston
15 F. Murray

Coach: D. McInnes

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
22 M. Johnston M
18 D. Cornelius M
27 S. Goss M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
99 J. Obika F
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
8 C. Slattery
15 J. Aitchison
2 S. O'Donnell
5 B. Mugabi
13 A. Oxborough
17 S. McKinstry
14 R. Danzaki
26 R. Tierney
12 O. Crankshaw

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
🔒
U ✓
3,18
🔒
B
2,93
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,19
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.