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Premiership
Referee: S Kirkland
Hamilton
U S S T T
0–1
Full-time
St Mirren
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 11. · St Mirren 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Hibernian 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Ross County 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Celtic 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Dundee United 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 St Mirren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
7 Kilmarnock 3 0 2 1 -1 2
8 Motherwell 3 0 1 2 -2 1
9 ST Johnstone 2 0 1 1 -3 1
10 Livingston 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Hamilton 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton St Mirren
19′
J. Obika 0–1
R. Tait
Half-time 0–1
M. Ogkmpoe 🔁
↦ D. Moyo
54′
J. Johnson 🔁
↦ L. Smith
54′
57′
🟨 Sam Foley
61′
🔁 Í. Durmuş
↦ K. McAllister
78′
🟨 Richard Tait
R. Mimnaugh 🔁
↦ R. Callachan
81′
90′
🟨 Jak Alnwick
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-4-2
23 R. Fulton G
27 L. Hodson D
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin D
12 S. Want D
10 D. Templeton F
34 R. Callachan M
8 S. Martin M
11 L. Smith M
20 D. Moyo F
19 A. Winter M
Bench (9)
9 M. Ogkmpoe
37 J. Johnson
18 R. Mimnaugh
32 C. Smith
6 J. Hamilton
14 C. Trafford
16 M. Fjørtoft
21 K. Munro
22 K. Gourlay

Coach: B. Rice

St Mirren

4-3-1-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
6 N. Sheron M
16 S. Foley D
17 J. McGrath M
10 K. McAllister M
14 C. MacPherson M
9 J. Obika F
19 J. Morias F
Bench (9)
11 Í. Durmuş
23 I. Thorvaldsson
30 J. Henderson
33 L. Jamieson
35 J. Jack
25 E. Erhahon
26 D. Lyness
27 P. Urminský
15 J. Baird

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U
3,08
B ✓
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.