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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Arslan
Buyuksehyr
T U U S U
4–0
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 33%
43%
23%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
57%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,22 xG 0,24
68% Possession 32%
14 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 5. · Kasimpasa 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 30 22 5 3 +46 +31.1 71
2 Fenerbahce 30 19 10 1 +38 +31.9 67
3 Trabzonspor 30 19 8 3 +25 +8.8 65
4 Besiktas 30 16 7 7 +18 +24.9 55
5 Buyuksehyr 30 13 9 8 +17 +5.5 48
6 Goztep 30 12 12 6 +10 +6.9 48
7 Samsunspor 30 10 12 8 -3 +5.9 42
8 Rizespor 30 9 10 11 -1 -0.0 37
9 Konyaspor 30 9 10 11 -3 -0.8 37
10 Gaziantep 30 9 10 11 -8 -3.1 37
11 Kocaelispor 30 9 9 12 -9 -1.6 36
12 Alanyaspor 30 6 15 9 +0 -9.0 33
13 Kasimpasa 30 7 10 13 -12 -12.6 31
14 Antalyaspor 30 7 7 16 -19 -22.3 28
15 Genclerbirligi 30 6 7 17 -15 -18.9 25
16 Eyüpspor 30 6 7 17 -22 -19.3 25
17 Kayserispor 30 4 11 15 -36 -14.6 23
18 Karagumruk 30 5 5 20 -26 -12.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Buyuksehyr Kasimpasa
1–0 E. Shomurodov
Y. Sari
5′
Eldor Shomurodov ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
7′
2–0 B. Yildirim
22′
30′
🟨 Andri Baldursson
Léo Duarte 🟨
34′
Omer Ali Sahiner 🟨
35′
43′
ℹ️ Rodrigo Becão
VAR: Card upgrade
44′
🟥 Rodrigo Becão
Half-time 2–0
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ O. Sahiner
46′
46′
🔁 N. Opoku
↦ Cafu
D. Selke 🔁
↦ B. Yildirim
60′
I. Brnic 🔁
↦ Y. Sari
60′
H. Gureler 🔁
↦ L. Duarte
69′
80′
🔁 E. Aydin
↦ K. Demirbay
80′
🔁 K. Kanatsizkus
↦ A. Benedyczak
3–0 D. Selke
I. Brnic
81′
Olivier Kemen 🟨
83′
O. Ergun 🔁
↦ U. Gunes
83′
86′
🔁 A. Kol
↦ I. C. Kahveci
4–0 E. Shomurodov
I. Brnic
87′
Full-time 4–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,76
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Y Arslan · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.