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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Kol

Kasimpasa

T S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Kocaelispor

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

23%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

45%

29%

Both score Ø 46%

52%

39%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,85 xG 0,64

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 13. · Kocaelispor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	32	23	5	4	+46	+32.1	74
2	Fenerbahce	32	20	10	2	+37	+31.6	70
3	Trabzonspor	32	19	9	4	+24	+9.0	66
4	Besiktas	32	17	8	7	+20	+26.1	59
5	Goztep	32	13	13	6	+12	+9.2	52
6	Buyuksehyr	32	14	9	9	+19	+6.3	51
7	Samsunspor	32	12	12	8	+1	+6.8	48
8	Rizespor	32	10	10	12	-2	-0.4	40
9	Konyaspor	32	10	10	12	-3	-1.7	40
10	Gaziantep	32	9	10	13	-13	-3.6	37
11	Kocaelispor	31	9	9	13	-10	-2.0	36
12	Alanyaspor	32	6	16	10	-1	-8.6	34
13	Kasimpasa	31	7	10	14	-16	-14.6	31
14	Eyüpspor	32	7	8	17	-19	-19.1	29
15	Antalyaspor	32	7	8	17	-21	-24.6	29
16	Genclerbirligi	31	7	7	17	-14	-18.6	28
17	Kayserispor	32	5	12	15	-34	-13.7	27
18	Karagumruk	31	5	6	20	-26	-14.2	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	12	4	0	+30	+22.5	40
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	5	0	+21	+24.6	38
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	6	1	+14	+7.2	33
4	Besiktas	16	9	4	3	+11	+17.8	31
5	Goztep	16	7	7	2	+9	+9.2	28
6	Buyuksehyr	16	7	6	3	+13	+3.4	27
7	Rizespor	16	8	2	6	+1	+6.5	26
8	Samsunspor	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.6	25
9	Konyaspor	16	6	6	4	+5	+3.6	24
10	Kocaelispor	16	6	5	5	+3	+7.0	23
11	Genclerbirligi	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.1	22
12	Alanyaspor	16	5	5	6	+4	-2.5	20
13	Gaziantep	16	5	5	6	-4	+4.9	20
14	Kasimpasa	15	4	5	6	-5	-0.3	17
15	Eyüpspor	16	4	4	8	-6	-4.4	16
16	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-12	-7.6	16
17	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-18	-1.7	16
18	Karagumruk	15	4	3	8	-7	-0.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	11	1	4	+16	+9.6	34
2	Trabzonspor	16	10	3	3	+10	+1.8	33
3	Fenerbahce	16	9	5	2	+16	+7.0	32
4	Besiktas	16	8	4	4	+9	+8.3	28
5	Buyuksehyr	16	7	3	6	+6	+2.9	24
6	Goztep	16	6	6	4	+3	-0.0	24
7	Samsunspor	16	6	5	5	-1	+0.2	23
8	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-9	-8.5	17
9	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-8	-5.3	16
10	Rizespor	16	2	8	6	-3	-6.9	14
11	Alanyaspor	16	1	11	4	-5	-6.1	14
12	Kasimpasa	16	3	5	8	-11	-14.4	14
13	Antalyaspor	16	3	4	9	-9	-17.0	13
14	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-13	-14.7	13
15	Kocaelispor	15	3	4	8	-13	-9.0	13
16	Kayserispor	16	1	8	7	-16	-12.0	11
17	Genclerbirligi	15	1	3	11	-13	-17.5	6
18	Karagumruk	16	1	3	12	-19	-13.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.