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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Yilmaz
Karagumruk
S T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 0,11
48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 15. · Buyuksehyr 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 5 5 0 0 +14 +10.4 15
2 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +5 +6.3 10
3 Trabzonspor 5 3 1 1 +2 -1.2 10
4 Goztep 5 2 3 0 +5 +0.4 9
5 Antalyaspor 5 3 0 2 +1 -1.4 9
6 Gaziantep 5 3 0 2 -2 -1.4 9
7 Konyaspor 4 2 1 1 +5 -0.2 7
8 Alanyaspor 4 2 1 1 +2 -0.7 7
9 Samsunspor 4 2 1 1 +1 +1.3 7
10 Besiktas 3 2 0 1 +0 +3.5 6
11 Rizespor 4 1 1 2 -4 +0.6 4
12 Eyüpspor 5 1 1 3 -5 -4.4 4
13 Kasimpasa 4 1 0 3 -2 -1.0 3
14 Kayserispor 4 0 3 1 -4 -3.7 3
15 Karagumruk 4 1 0 3 -5 -3.0 3
16 Buyuksehyr 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.6 2
17 Kocaelispor 5 0 1 4 -6 -2.1 1
18 Genclerbirligi 5 0 0 5 -6 -2.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Buyuksehyr
27′
ℹ️ Eldor Shomurodov
VAR: Goal cancelled
Berkay Özcan 🟨
29′
37′
🟨 Miguel Crespo
Half-time 0–0
Serginho 🔁
↦ T. Kalpakli
46′
J. Camacho 🔁
↦ B. Kalayci
46′
Tiago Çukur 🟨
48′
60′
🔁 I. Brnic
↦ D. Turuc
65′
I. Brnic 0–1
E. Shomurodov
M. Doh 🔁
↦ A. Gray
68′
69′
A. Cinar 1–1
own goal
73′
🔁 N. Da Costa
↦ O. Kemen
85′
🔁 U. Gunes
↦ M. Crespo
85′
🔁 O. Beyaz
↦ Y. Sari
85′
🔁 O. Ergun
↦ E. Shomurodov
86′
🟨 Nuno Da Costa
T. Akgun 🔁
↦ B. Ozcan
86′
A. Demirol 🔁
↦ D. Johnson
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
13 I. Grbic G
6 A. R. Cankaya D
32 M. Kadioglu D
94 A. Cinar D
29 J. Balkovec D
8 B. Ozcan M
11 D. Johnson M
20 T. Kalpakli M
21 T. Cukur M
72 B. Kalayci M
91 A. Gray F
Bench (10)
99 F. Beklevic
33 C. Kurukalip
27 N. Ugrekhelidze
88 O. Gumus
16 T. Akgun
34 A. Demirol
70 Serginho
37 J. Camacho
14 M. Doh
93 K. Ozmen

Coach: Marcel Lička

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
16 M. Sengezer G
36 F. Ebosele D
15 H. Gureler D
3 J. Opoku D
21 C. Operi D
2 B. Ozdemir M
23 D. Turuc M
13 M. Crespo M
8 O. Kemen M
7 Y. Sari M
14 E. Shomurodov F
Bench (10)
1 V. Babacan
78 L. Stancic
6 O. Bulut
42 O. Sahiner
20 U. Gunes
17 O. Beyaz
4 O. Ergun
45 B. Aslan
77 I. Brnic
10 N. Da Costa

Coach: Nuri Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,59
U
3,45
B ✓
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.