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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergun

Fenerbahce

U U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Trabzonspor

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 71%

67%

75%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 46%

67%

25%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,12 xG 0,04

73% Possession 27%

29 Shots 1

9 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 0

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fenerbahce 6. · Trabzonspor 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+14	+10.4	15
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.8	10
3	Goztep	5	2	3	0	+5	+0.4	9
4	Antalyaspor	5	3	0	2	+1	-1.4	9
5	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+5	-0.2	7
6	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.2	7
7	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.7	7
8	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
9	Besiktas	3	2	0	1	+0	+3.5	6
10	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
11	Eyüpspor	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.4	4
12	Kasimpasa	4	1	0	3	-2	-1.0	3
13	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-4	-3.7	3
14	Karagumruk	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.0	3
15	Buyuksehyr	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.6	2
16	Kocaelispor	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.8	1
17	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-5	+0.6	1
18	Genclerbirligi	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.4	6
3	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.7	6
4	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.8	4
5	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
6	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
7	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
8	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
9	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
10	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.7	3
11	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
12	Buyuksehyr	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
13	Kocaelispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
14	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.7	1
15	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.3	0
16	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.0	0
17	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.6	0
18	Karagumruk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+9	+7.0	9
2	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	+0.6	7
3	Antalyaspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.8	6
4	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
6	Samsunspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
7	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Alanyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
9	Kasimpasa	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
10	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.4	3
11	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
12	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Eyüpspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
14	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
15	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.9	0
17	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
18	Kocaelispor	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.