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OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger
U S S S S
0–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
2,5
4,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+3,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 67%
52%
82%
Points per game
1,9
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
78%
75%
Both score Ø 64%
74%
54%
Average goals
3,6
3,6
Scored
2,1
2,9
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 2. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 28 23 5 0 +64 74
2 Kongsvinger 27 14 8 5 +18 50
3 Start 28 14 7 7 +19 49
4 Aalesund 26 13 9 4 +22 48
5 Egersund 26 13 6 7 +12 45
6 Lyn 28 13 5 10 +10 44
7 Sogndal 28 11 7 10 +1 40
8 Ranheim 27 11 6 10 -6 39
9 Odd 28 8 9 11 -7 33
10 Stabaek 28 7 10 11 -1 31
11 hodd 28 8 7 13 -18 31
12 Asane 28 7 9 12 -12 30
13 Raufoss 28 7 8 13 -12 29
14 Moss 28 7 6 15 -23 27
15 Mjondalen 28 5 7 16 -35 22
16 Skeid 28 1 9 18 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Lillestrom
30′
Y. Paintsil 0–1
45′
E. Kitolano 0–2
M. Karlsbakk
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 L. Ranger
E. Nielsen 🟨
49′
D. Lysgard 🔁
↦ J. Grundt
64′
R. Christiansen 🔁
↦ L. Langrekken
64′
R. Christiansen 🟨
67′
80′
🟨 E. B. Garnas
N. Williams 🟨
86′
M. Flores 🔁
↦ M. Gjerstrom
89′
90′
🔁 H. Woxen
↦ M. Karlsbakk
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
17 M. Gjerstrom
5 F. Holme
29 S. Norheim
19 E. Nielsen
8 J. Grundt
14 F. Christensen
27 A. Dybevik
22 L. Langrekken
9 L. Haren
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
2 J. Nilsson
6 H. Holter
12 M. Mbow
13 M. Flores
18 J. Holtan
21 D. Lysgard
23 M. Vinjor
28 R. Christiansen

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
2 L. Ranger
4 E. B. Garnas
28 R. Gabrielsen
11 F. Elkaer
8 M. Karlsbakk
6 V. Hoff
17 E. Kitolano
26 Y. Paintsil
33 M. Diop
15 S. Drammeh
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
5 S. Foss
7 L. Alperud
19 K. Tonnesen
30 L. Svenningsen
32 H. Woxen
35 F. V. Reshane
41 I. Winje
64 E. Larsson

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.