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Bundesliga

Referee: D Pfister

Grazer AK

U U T U T

3–1

Full-time

Altach

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Altach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 14%

27%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

45%

18%

Both score Ø 41%

45%

36%

Average goals

2,4

1,8

Scored

0,5

0,9

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,15 xG 0,54

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grazer AK 12. · Altach 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	6	3	2	+10	+4.2	21
2	Sturm Graz	10	7	0	3	+9	+2.9	21
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	6	2	3	+8	+0.1	20
4	SK Rapid	11	6	2	3	+4	+0.8	20
5	Austria Vienna	11	5	1	5	-3	+0.0	16
6	Altach	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.1	14
7	Ried	11	4	2	5	-1	-2.4	14
8	Hartberg	11	3	4	4	+0	-0.4	13
9	LASK	11	4	1	6	-5	-5.0	13
10	Tirol	10	3	3	4	-1	+3.9	12
11	BW Linz	11	3	1	7	-7	-2.2	10
12	Grazer AK	11	0	6	5	-14	-3.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	3	2	1	+7	+2.7	11
2	Tirol	6	3	1	2	+4	+3.9	10
3	LASK	6	3	1	2	+0	-2.9	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	0	3	+2	-0.1	9
5	Altach	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.9	9
6	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.8	7
7	BW Linz	5	2	0	3	+0	-1.3	6
8	Austria Vienna	6	2	0	4	-6	-0.2	6
9	Ried	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.5	5
10	Grazer AK	6	0	4	2	-5	-0.2	4
11	Sturm Graz	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.0	3
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	6	6	0	0	+12	+2.9	18
2	SK Rapid	6	4	1	1	+4	-0.0	13
3	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+2	-0.4	12
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	2	0	+6	+0.2	11
5	Austria Vienna	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.2	10
6	Salzburg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.5	10
7	Ried	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.9	9
8	Altach	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.1	5
9	BW Linz	6	1	1	4	-7	-0.8	4
10	LASK	5	1	0	4	-5	-2.2	3
11	Tirol	4	0	2	2	-5	–	2
12	Grazer AK	5	0	2	3	-9	-2.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.