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Serie B
Referee: Luca Massimi
Avellino
U U T T U
4–3
Full-time
Reggiana
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avellino Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Avellino 11. · Reggiana 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Modena 10 6 3 1 +10 +0.4 21
2 Monza 10 6 2 2 +7 +1.2 20
3 Cesena 10 6 2 2 +4 +0.8 20
4 Frosinone 10 5 3 2 +9 +2.6 18
5 Venezia 10 4 4 2 +7 16
6 Palermo 10 4 4 2 +2 -1.2 16
7 Reggiana 10 4 3 3 +1 -0.4 15
8 Carrarese 10 3 5 2 +4 -0.8 14
9 Juve Stabia 9 3 5 1 +2 14
10 Padova 10 3 4 3 -1 13
11 Avellino 10 3 4 3 -4 +0.2 13
12 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +1 12
13 Empoli 10 2 5 3 -4 -0.7 11
14 Sudtirol 10 2 4 4 -3 10
15 Virtus Entella 10 2 4 4 -6 -2.6 10
16 Bari 9 2 3 4 -6 9
17 Pescara 10 1 5 4 -3 -0.2 8
18 Spezia 10 1 4 5 -4 7
19 Sampdoria 10 1 4 5 -5 +0.7 7
20 Mantova 10 1 2 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Avellino Reggiana
21′
L. Simic 1–0
own goal
Tommaso Biasci 🟨
25′
25′
🟨 Andrea Papetti
Valerio Crespi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
30′
2–0 R. Insigne
32′
Half-time 2–0
R. Russo 🔁
↦ V. Crespi
46′
Luca Palmiero 🟨
47′
3–0 T. Biasci
R. Insigne
50′
J. Kumi 🔁
↦ L. Palmiero
55′
55′
A. Novakovich 3–1
Alessandro Milani 🟨
57′
62′
A. Novakovich 3–2
M. Bertagnoli
A. Cagnano 🔁
↦ A. Milani
64′
G. Tutino 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
64′
4–2 L. Simic
R. Russo
64′
67′
🟨 Manolo Portanova
69′
🔁 M. Lambourde
↦ E. Tavsan
5–2 M. Palumbo
M. Besaggio
70′
78′
🔁 L. Stulac
↦ M. Bertagnoli
78′
🔁 C. Gondo
↦ A. Novakovich
D. Sounas 🔁
↦ M. Palumbo
82′
82′
🔁 M. Rover
↦ A. Bozzolan
Filippo Missori 🟨
86′
93′
🟨 Cedric Gondo
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Avellino

4-3-1-2
30 G. Daffara G
2 F. Missori D
44 L. Simic D
56 P. Enrici D
78 A. Milani D
39 M. Besaggio M
20 M. Palumbo M
6 L. Palmiero M
94 R. Insigne M
17 V. Crespi F
14 T. Biasci F
Bench (12)
1 A. Iannarilli
23 A. Cagnano
29 T. Cancellotti
63 A. Fontanarosa
5 M. Rigione
21 M. Armellino
8 M. Gyabuaa
16 J. Kumi
24 D. Sounas
32 F. Lescano
10 R. Russo
7 G. Tutino

Coach: Raffaele Biancolino

Reggiana

3-4-1-2
1 E. Motta G
2 A. Papetti D
96 G. Magnani D
17 L. Libutti D
7 M. Marras M
8 Charlys M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
3 A. Bozzolan M
10 E. Tavsan F
9 A. Novakovich F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (11)
22 M. Enza
21 G. Saro
43 S. Bonetti
33 A. Tripaldelli
19 D. Basili
44 L. Mendicino
6 F. Vallarelli
5 L. Stulac
11 C. Gondo
93 M. Lambourde
23 M. Rover

Coach: Davide Dionigi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,33
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca Massimi · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
33,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.