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Serie B

Referee: Mario Perri

Padova

U T S U U

1–1

Full-time

Sudtirol

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Padova Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

60%

70%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Padova 11. · Sudtirol 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	10	6	3	1	+10	+0.4	21
2	Monza	10	6	2	2	+7	+1.2	20
3	Cesena	10	6	2	2	+4	+0.8	20
4	Frosinone	10	5	3	2	+9	+2.6	18
5	Venezia	10	4	4	2	+7	–	16
6	Palermo	10	4	4	2	+2	-1.2	16
7	Avellino	11	4	4	3	-3	+0.2	16
8	Reggiana	11	4	3	4	+0	-0.4	15
9	Carrarese	10	3	5	2	+4	-0.8	14
10	Juve Stabia	9	3	5	1	+2	–	14
11	Padova	10	3	4	3	-1	–	13
12	Catanzaro	10	2	6	2	+1	–	12
13	Empoli	10	2	5	3	-4	-0.7	11
14	Sudtirol	10	2	4	4	-3	–	10
15	Virtus Entella	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.6	10
16	Bari	9	2	3	4	-6	–	9
17	Pescara	10	1	5	4	-3	-0.2	8
18	Spezia	10	1	4	5	-4	–	7
19	Sampdoria	10	1	4	5	-5	+0.7	7
20	Mantova	10	1	2	7	-11	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	5	4	1	0	+7	–	13
2	Venezia	5	4	0	1	+8	–	12
3	Monza	5	4	0	1	+4	–	12
4	Reggiana	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.4	11
5	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+7	+2.6	10
6	Avellino	5	3	1	1	+0	–	10
7	Virtus Entella	5	2	3	0	+3	–	9
8	Palermo	6	2	3	1	+0	-1.2	9
9	Carrarese	5	2	2	1	+3	–	8
10	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	–	8
11	Empoli	6	1	5	0	+2	-0.7	8
12	Bari	4	2	2	0	+2	–	8
13	Pescara	6	1	4	1	+2	-0.2	7
14	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	+0	–	6
15	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+0	–	6
16	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	+0	–	5
17	Padova	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
18	Cesena	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
19	Mantova	5	1	1	3	-7	–	4
20	Spezia	6	0	2	4	-6	–	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cesena	6	5	0	1	+4	–	15
2	Monza	5	2	2	1	+3	+1.2	8
3	Modena	5	2	2	1	+3	+0.4	8
4	Frosinone	5	2	2	1	+2	–	8
5	Padova	6	2	2	2	-1	–	8
6	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
7	Carrarese	5	1	3	1	+1	-0.8	6
8	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	–	6
9	Juve Stabia	5	1	3	1	-1	–	6
10	Avellino	6	1	3	2	-3	+0.2	6
11	Spezia	4	1	2	1	+2	–	5
12	Venezia	5	0	4	1	-1	–	4
13	Sudtirol	5	0	4	1	-3	–	4
14	Reggiana	6	1	1	4	-5	–	4
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-6	–	3
16	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-5	+0.7	2
17	Mantova	5	0	1	4	-4	–	1
18	Pescara	4	0	1	3	-5	–	1
19	Bari	5	0	1	4	-8	–	1
20	Virtus Entella	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.