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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Lillestrom
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Kongsvinger
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
47%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 5. · Kongsvinger 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 15 10 2 3 +13 32
2 Ranheim 15 10 0 5 +21 30
3 Asane 16 8 4 4 +12 28
4 Sogndal 14 8 3 3 +14 27
5 Lillestrom 15 7 5 3 +6 26
6 Sandnes ULF 15 7 3 5 -5 24
7 Stjørdals-Blink 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Grorud 16 5 6 5 +1 21
9 Strommen 16 6 2 8 -5 20
10 Raufoss 15 4 6 5 +0 18
11 Ull/Kisa 15 4 5 6 -3 17
12 KFUM Oslo 16 4 5 7 -5 17
13 Jerv 15 3 6 6 -12 15
14 Øygarden 16 3 5 8 -15 14
15 Kongsvinger 15 3 4 8 -11 13
16 Ham-Kam 15 2 4 9 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Kongsvinger
32′
🟨 P. Steiring
38′
🟨 E. Skagestad
Half-time 0–0
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
61′
B. Sigurðarson 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
62′
72′
🔁 A. Güven
↦ L. Langrekken
72′
🔁 D. Lysgård
↦ P. Steiring
79′
🔁 M. Vinjor
↦ S. Marklund
S. Mikalsen 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
81′
1–0 M. Knudsen
84′
88′
🔁 Lee Gyu-hwan
↦ M. Aanesland
88′
🔁 M. Al Laham
↦ E. Bydal
2–0 B. Sigurðarson
89′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
92′
E. Smidesang Edh 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
4 E. Garnås
26 L. Ranger
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (7)
21 M. Knudsen
16 B. Sigurðarson
3 S. Mikalsen
18 M. Ebiye
35 E. Smidesang Edh
22 P. Slørdahl
25 J. Coppens

Coach: G. Bakke

Kongsvinger

27 R. Mandanda
25 E. Skagestad
3 V. Grodås
2 F. Pålerud
18 P. Steiring
17 M. Gjerstrøm
11 S. Marklund
20 E. Bydal
8 M. Andersen
14 M. Aanesland
22 L. Langrekken
Bench (9)
9 A. Güven
21 D. Lysgård
23 M. Vinjor
7 Lee Gyu-hwan
15 M. Al Laham
6 V. Jalasto
19 H. Nilsen
31 A. Smedplass
50 J. Grundt

Coach: M. Lehkosuo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.