Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | +64 | 74 |
| 2 |
Kongsvinger
|
27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 3 |
Start
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Aalesund
|
26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | +22 | 48 |
| 5 |
Egersund
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 6 |
Lyn
|
28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 44 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 39 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |
Stabaek
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 |
hodd
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |
Raufoss
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 |
Moss
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -23 | 27 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -35 | 22 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lyn
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
hodd
Moss
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Skeid
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.