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OBOS-ligaen
Moss
T T S U T
1–5
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 54%
30%
78%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
74%
70%
Both score Ø 57%
65%
48%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,6
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 13. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 23 18 5 0 +45 59
2 Start 24 12 5 7 +14 41
3 Aalesund 21 10 8 3 +14 38
4 Lyn 23 11 5 7 +11 38
5 Kongsvinger 23 10 8 5 +9 38
6 Sogndal 24 10 6 8 +2 36
7 Egersund 22 9 6 7 +1 33
8 Ranheim 22 9 5 8 -5 32
9 hodd 23 8 6 9 -8 30
10 Asane 24 7 7 10 -9 28
11 Odd 23 7 6 10 -2 27
12 Raufoss 23 6 8 9 -4 26
13 Moss 23 7 5 11 -11 26
14 Stabaek 23 4 9 10 -9 21
15 Mjondalen 23 3 6 14 -28 15
16 Skeid 24 1 9 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -25 Lillestrom – Moss 3–0

Match report

Moss Lillestrom
7′
T. Olsen 0–1
L. Rossi 🟨
13′
40′
H. Woxen 0–2
S. Drammeh
45′
M. Karlsbakk 0–3
H. Woxen
Half-time 0–3
A. Memedov 🔁
↦ L. Rossi
46′
47′
🟨 V. Hoff
47′
T. Olsen 0–4
L. Ranger
57′
🟨 L. Ranger
1–4 S. Gronli
A. Memedov
60′
61′
🔁 E. Kitolano
↦ V. Hoff
61′
🔁 Felix Va
↦ Y. Paintsil
61′
🔁 E. Larsson
↦ L. Ranger
H. Vold Krohg 🔁
↦ P. Andersen
65′
68′
S. Drammeh 1–5
70′
🟨 K. Tonnesen
A. A. Engesvik 🔁
↦ S. Gronli
72′
M. Mayonga 🔁
↦ M. Cassidy
72′
72′
🔁 F. Elkaer
↦ K. Tonnesen
M. Afonso 🔁
↦ T. Jakobsen
85′
85′
🔁 A. C. Ntiso
↦ S. Drammeh
90′
🟨 Felix Va
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
6 M. Lassen
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
46 W. Kvale
21 S. Gronli
9 J. Musbaudeen
17 P. Andersen
2 M. Cassidy
11 T. Jakobsen
47 L. Rossi
Bench (9)
12 J. Sundling
5 E. Race
8 H. Vold Krohg
15 A. A. Engesvik
19 A. Memedov
23 J. Barros
24 M. Welinder
29 M. Mayonga
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
2 L. Ranger
4 E. B. Garnas
5 S. Foss
19 K. Tonnesen
8 M. Karlsbakk
6 V. Hoff
32 H. Woxen
26 Y. Paintsil
10 T. Olsen
15 S. Drammeh
Bench (8)
1 S. Hagerup
11 F. Elkaer
17 E. Kitolano
20 Felix Va
28 R. Gabrielsen
30 L. Svenningsen
31 A. C. Ntiso
64 E. Larsson

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.