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Super League

Referee: Marijan Drmic

Thun

T S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Sion

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Sion

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

73%

45%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

82%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

73%

36%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,47 xG 3,94

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 8

19 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 1. · Sion 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	11	8	1	2	+10	-1.8	25
2	St. Gallen	11	7	0	4	+12	+2.9	21
3	Basel	11	7	0	4	+7	+7.6	21
4	Sion	11	5	3	3	+4	+3.3	18
5	Young Boys	11	5	3	3	-1	-2.7	18
6	Lugano	11	5	1	5	-1	+2.7	16
7	Luzern	11	3	5	3	-1	-2.1	14
8	Servette	11	4	2	5	-2	+0.8	14
9	Zurich	11	4	1	6	-6	+3.3	13
10	Lausanne	11	3	3	5	+3	+4.7	12
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	4	5	-4	-8.8	10
12	Winterthur	11	0	3	8	-21	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.3	13
2	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
3	Basel	5	4	0	1	+8	+10.0	12
4	Young Boys	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.2	10
5	Thun	5	3	1	1	+4	-2.4	10
6	Lausanne	6	3	0	3	+6	+5.6	9
7	Grasshoppers	6	2	2	2	+3	-2.0	8
8	Servette	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.7	8
9	Sion	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.2	7
10	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
11	Luzern	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.8	3
12	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.5	11
3	Luzern	6	3	2	1	+1	-2.9	11
4	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
5	Basel	6	3	0	3	-1	-2.4	9
6	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	-6	-6.0	8
7	Zurich	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
8	Servette	5	2	0	3	-1	+0.1	6
9	Lausanne	5	0	3	2	-3	-1.0	3
10	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.4	3
11	Grasshoppers	5	0	2	3	-7	-6.8	2
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-16	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.