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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Guimaraes
U T S S T
0–3
Full-time
Benfica
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,43 xG 2,13
34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 11. · Benfica 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 +20 +18.2 25
2 Porto 9 8 1 0 +19 +13.8 25
3 Benfica 9 6 3 0 +14 +10.7 21
4 Gil Vicente 9 6 1 2 +10 +3.9 19
5 Famalicao 10 5 4 1 +7 +5.9 19
6 Moreirense 9 5 0 4 +0 -5.1 15
7 Sp Braga 9 3 4 2 +8 +4.9 13
8 Santa Clara 9 3 2 4 -2 +2.8 11
9 Nacional 10 3 2 5 -4 -2.6 11
10 Rio Ave 10 2 5 3 -5 -8.2 11
11 Guimaraes 9 3 2 4 -5 -2.5 11
12 Estoril 10 2 4 4 +1 -1.8 10
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 -1 +0.7 10
14 Alverca 10 3 1 6 -7 -2.9 10
15 Arouca 9 2 3 4 -14 -13.2 9
16 Casa Pia 10 2 2 6 -11 -8.2 8
17 Tondela 9 1 2 6 -13 -7.9 5
18 AVS 9 0 1 8 -17 -8.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Benfica
43′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Georgiy Sudakov
46′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ G. Sudakov
46′
🔁 A. Schjelderup
↦ G. Prestianni
Miguel Maga 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Gianluca Prestianni
Beni Mukendi 🟨
52′
53′
T. Araujo 0–1
D. Lukebakio
Fabio Blanco 🟥
56′
M. Nobrega 🔁
↦ Maga
61′
M. Mitrovic 🔁
↦ D. Sousa
61′
V. Felix 🔁
↦ T. Arcanjo
62′
62′
S. Dahl 0–2
L. Barreiro
N. Oliveira 🔁
↦ Samu
73′
N. Saviolo 🔁
↦ O. Camara
79′
83′
🔁 J. Rego
↦ D. Lukebakio
87′
J. Rego 0–3
Vando Félix 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Nicolás Otamendi
90′
🔁 H. Araujo
↦ V. Pavlidis
91′
🔁 J. Veloso
↦ R. Rios
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
25 J. Castillo G
2 Maga D
4 O. Rivas Viondi D
26 R. Abascal D
13 J. I. Mendes D
16 Beni M
23 D. Sousa M
18 T. Arcanjo M
20 Samu M
22 F. Blanco M
19 O. Camara F
Bench (9)
27 Charles Silva
3 M. Nobrega
6 M. Mitrovic
7 N. Oliveira
17 O. Lebedenko
21 V. Felix
30 G. Nogueira
48 N. Saviolo
88 M. Nogueira

Coach: Luís Miguel Correia Pinto

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
8 F. Aursnes D
44 T. Araujo D
30 N. Otamendi D
26 S. Dahl D
20 R. Rios M
5 E. Barrenechea M
11 D. Lukebakio M
10 G. Sudakov M
25 G. Prestianni M
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (9)
24 S. Soares
3 R. Obrador
4 A. Silva
9 F. Ivanovic
18 L. Barreiro
21 A. Schjelderup
39 H. Araujo
68 J. Veloso
84 J. Rego

Coach: José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,23
U
4,38
B ✓
1,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.