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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Leganes
S U S U S
1–2
Full-time
Burgos
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
18%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,29 xG 0,90
62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 11. · Burgos 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 12 8 1 3 +10 -0.4 25
2 Las Palmas 11 5 4 2 +5 19
3 Almeria 11 5 4 2 +3 19
4 Cadiz 11 5 4 2 +2 19
5 Burgos 11 5 3 3 +6 +3.1 18
6 Sp Gijon 11 6 0 5 +0 18
7 Ceuta 11 5 3 3 -1 -2.3 18
8 La Coruna 11 4 5 2 +7 17
9 Valladolid 11 4 4 3 +3 +2.3 16
10 Cordoba 11 4 4 3 +0 16
11 Leganes 11 3 6 2 +3 15
12 Andorra 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Malaga 11 4 2 5 +0 14
14 Cultural Leonesa 12 4 2 6 -1 -2.7 14
15 Huesca 10 4 2 4 -3 14
16 Eibar 11 3 4 4 +1 13
17 Albacete 11 3 4 4 -3 13
18 Castellon 11 3 3 5 -1 12
19 Granada 11 2 5 4 -4 11
20 Sociedad B 11 2 3 6 -4 +0.4 9
21 Mirandes 12 2 3 7 -8 -0.5 9
22 Zaragoza 11 1 3 7 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Burgos
1–0 A. Millan
6′
8′
F. Nino 1–1
11′
ℹ️ Fernando Niño
VAR: Goal confirmed
Duk 🟨
33′
34′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba
39′
🟨 Florian Miguel
45′
M. Atienza 1–2
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Half-time 1–2
M. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ I. Miquel
46′
46′
🔁 S. Gonzalez
↦ A. Cordoba
G. Melero 🔁
↦ S. Cisse
61′
Jorge Sáenz 🟨
62′
69′
ℹ️ David González
VAR: Goal cancelled
R. Lopez 🔁
↦ O. Plano
72′
B. Pauwels 🔁
↦ A. Millan
72′
80′
🔁 M. Cantero
↦ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
80′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ I. Cordoba
81′
🟨 Álex Lizancos
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ Duk
86′
86′
🔁 M. Mejia
↦ F. Nino
90′
🔁 V. Mollejo
↦ Curro
Miguel de la Fuente 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Leganes

3-4-2-1
1 J. Soriano G
3 J. Saenz D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
5 I. Miquel D
7 R. Pena M
8 S. Cisse M
24 A. Diawara M
11 Duk M
10 J. Cruz F
20 O. Plano F
23 A. Millan F
Bench (12)
13 M. San Roman
9 M. de la Fuente
14 R. Lopez
16 G. Melero
17 N. Garcia
18 B. Pauwels
19 D. Garcia
21 A. Campos
22 S. Figueredo
26 C. Guirao
27 S. Imigene
38 D. Gueye

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
18 A. Cordoba D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
5 M. Atienza M
23 I. Morante M
21 I. Cordoba M
16 Curro F
9 F. Nino F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
28 S. del Cerro
6 S. Gonzalez
15 A. Bunuel
22 B. Martinez
17 M. Cantero
33 M. Exposito
10 K. Appin
11 V. Mollejo
31 F. Garcia
20 M. Gonzalez
7 M. Mejia

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
2,98
B ✓
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.