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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Kongsvinger
T U U S U
0–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 15. · Lillestrom 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 11 8 1 2 +11 25
2 Ranheim 10 8 0 2 +18 24
3 Asane 11 5 3 3 +6 18
4 Sogndal 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 Grorud 11 5 2 4 +3 17
6 Sandnes ULF 11 5 2 4 -6 17
7 Jerv 11 3 6 2 +3 15
8 Stjørdals-Blink 11 4 3 4 +0 15
9 Lillestrom 10 3 4 3 -1 13
10 KFUM Oslo 11 3 4 4 -2 13
11 Raufoss 11 2 5 4 -2 11
12 Ull/Kisa 11 2 5 4 -6 11
13 Strommen 11 3 2 6 -8 11
14 Øygarden 11 2 4 5 -8 10
15 Kongsvinger 10 2 3 5 -7 9
16 Ham-Kam 11 1 4 6 -7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Lillestrom
22′
T. Olsen 0–1
38′
🟨 P. Slordahl
42′
A. Melgalvis 0–2
Half-time 0–2
53′
🟨 S. Rafn
Lee Gyu-hwan 🔁
↦ A. Güven
60′
M. Gjerstrøm 🔁
↦ S. Marklund
61′
68′
D. Gustafsson 0–3
E. Bydal 🔁
↦ H. Holter
72′
R. Essaeh 🔁
↦ J. Rønningen
72′
78′
🔁 T. Kallevåg
↦ I. Mathew
78′
🔁 A. Sannes
↦ M. Knudsen
79′
🔁 L. Ranger
↦ A. Melgalvis
Gang Dong-Wan 🔁
↦ M. Vinjor
80′
84′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ T. Olsen
90′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ D. Gustafsson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

31 A. Smedplass
6 V. Jalasto
25 E. Skagestad
2 F. Pålerud
21 D. Lysgård
28 J. Rønningen
15 Marlinho
16 H. Holter
11 S. Marklund
23 M. Vinjor
9 A. Güven
Bench (7)
7 Lee Gyu-hwan
17 M. Gjerstrøm
20 E. Bydal
24 R. Essaeh
8 Gang Dong-Wan
13 M. Aadnøy
41 M. Lindegaard

Coach: M. Lehkosuo

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
22 P. Slørdahl
33 A. Melgalvis
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
21 M. Knudsen
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (8)
7 T. Kallevåg
27 A. Sannes
26 L. Ranger
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
18 M. Ebiye
4 T. Salquist
40 J. Sveinhaug
25 J. Coppens

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.