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OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom
S S S S S
5–1
Full-time
Lyn
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Lyn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,7
1,8
Scored
3,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 66%
80%
52%
Points per game
2,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
72%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,7
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Lyn 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 25 20 5 0 +53 65
2 Start 25 13 5 7 +18 44
3 Lyn 25 13 5 7 +16 44
4 Aalesund 23 11 8 4 +15 41
5 Kongsvinger 24 11 8 5 +12 41
6 Egersund 23 10 6 7 +5 36
7 Sogndal 25 10 6 9 +0 36
8 Ranheim 24 10 5 9 -8 35
9 Odd 25 8 7 10 -1 31
10 hodd 25 8 6 11 -13 30
11 Asane 25 7 7 11 -10 28
12 Raufoss 25 6 8 11 -9 26
13 Moss 25 7 5 13 -19 26
14 Stabaek 24 4 10 10 -9 22
15 Mjondalen 24 4 6 14 -27 18
16 Skeid 25 1 9 15 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -25 Lyn – Lillestrom 0–1

Match report

Lillestrom Lyn
2′
M. Johansen 0–1
1–1 E. Kitolano
F. Elkaer
9′
R. Gabrielsen 🟨
30′
M. Diop 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
35′
2–1 F. Elkaer
Felix Va
35′
V. Hoff 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–1
48′
🟨 S. Haugen
3–1 M. Karlsbakk
V. Hoff
52′
4–1 E. B. Garnas
S. Drammeh
61′
66′
🔁 W. Sell
↦ M. Johansen
66′
🔁 I. Barnett
↦ S. Haugen
66′
🔁 T. Myhre
↦ J. Skaug
E. Larsson 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
78′
Y. Paintsil 🔁
↦ Felix Va
79′
82′
🟨 M. Sylla
5–1 M. Diop
F. Elkaer
85′
K. Tonnesen 🔁
↦ F. Elkaer
87′
H. Woxen 🔁
↦ S. Drammeh
87′
87′
🔁 B. Hylen
↦ D. Fredriksen
87′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ A. Hellum
89′
🟨 I. Barnett
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
2 L. Ranger
4 E. B. Garnas
28 R. Gabrielsen
11 F. Elkaer
8 M. Karlsbakk
6 V. Hoff
17 E. Kitolano
15 S. Drammeh
10 T. Olsen
20 Felix Va
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
5 S. Foss
64 E. Larsson
19 K. Tonnesen
32 H. Woxen
33 M. Diop
26 Y. Paintsil
30 L. Svenningsen
7 L. Alperud

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Lyn

1 A. Pedersen
55 S. Haugen
29 M. Sylla
6 A. Midtskogen
18 H. Nilsen
5 E. Bydal
24 D. Fredriksen
9 A. Olsen
21 J. Skaug
10 M. Johansen
11 A. Hellum
Bench (8)
12 J. Wold
4 W. Sell
27 I. Barnett
17 D. Arzani
25 M. Ingebrigtsen
77 B. Hylen
28 M. Niang
19 T. Myhre

Coach: Magnus Aadland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.