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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Lukas Benen
Nurnberg
S T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Braunschweig
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,96 xG 0,75
47% Possession 53%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nurnberg 15. · Braunschweig 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 10 8 0 2 +9 +0.8 24
2 Elversberg 11 7 2 2 +14 -3.0 23
3 Paderborn 10 7 2 1 +8 +2.8 23
4 Hannover 11 6 3 2 +5 +2.6 21
5 Kaiserslautern 10 6 1 3 +7 -0.2 19
6 Darmstadt 10 5 3 2 +7 +0.9 18
7 Karlsruhe 10 5 3 2 +4 +0.3 18
8 Hertha 10 4 2 4 +2 -1.9 14
9 Preußen Münster 11 4 2 5 -3 -1.8 14
10 Bielefeld 10 4 1 5 +3 +1.7 13
11 Holstein Kiel 11 3 3 5 +0 -0.6 12
12 Braunschweig 10 3 1 6 -9 -1.1 10
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 3 1 6 -9 -3.5 10
14 Greuther Furth 10 3 1 6 -12 -0.2 10
15 Nurnberg 10 2 3 5 -5 +0.1 9
16 Dresden 10 1 4 5 -5 +1.8 7
17 Bochum 10 2 1 7 -6 +1.8 7
18 Magdeburg 10 2 1 7 -10 -0.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Braunschweig
7′
🔁 F. Kaufmann
↦ M. Aydin
1–0 M. A. Zoma
J. Justvan
19′
2–0 F. O. Becker
M. A. Zoma
33′
40′
K. Ehlers 2–1
S. Kohler
Half-time 2–1
Adam Markhiev 🟨
46′
61′
🔁 S. Sane
↦ L. Bell Bell
61′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ C. Conteh
T. Janisch 🔁
↦ T. Drexler
67′
P. Demba 🔁
↦ R. Lubach
68′
S. Telalovic 🔁
↦ A. Stepanov
68′
R. Knoche 🔁
↦ M. A. Zoma
79′
81′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ L. Tempelmann
81′
🔁 R. Ramsak
↦ M. Marie
84′
🟨 Fabio Di Michele Sanchez
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ J. Justvan
84′
87′
🟨 Kevin Ehlers
Luka Lochoshvili 🟨
89′
93′
🟨 Kevin Ehlers
93′
🟥 Kevin Ehlers
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-3
1 J. Reichert G
15 T. Drexler D
4 F. Gruber D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
21 B. Yilmaz D
25 F. O. Becker M
6 A. Markhiev M
18 R. Lubach M
10 J. Justvan F
11 A. Stepanov F
23 M. A. Zoma F
Bench (9)
26 C. Mathenia
41 E. Porstner
32 T. Janisch
31 R. Knoche
20 P. Demba
5 T. Baack
39 P. Scobel
33 A. Grimaldi
9 S. Telalovic

Coach: Miroslav Josef Klose

Braunschweig

4-2-3-1
1 R. Hoffmann G
8 M. Aydin D
27 S. Kohler D
21 K. Ehlers D
22 F. Di Michele Sanchez D
15 M. Marie M
6 F. Flick M
32 C. Conteh M
20 L. Tempelmann M
19 L. Bell Bell M
11 L. Szabo F
Bench (9)
13 E. Kastrati
16 L. Breunig
25 S. Ba
7 F. Kaufmann
24 S. Sane
30 R. Heusser
17 S. Polter
23 R. Ramsak
44 J. Gomez

Coach: Heiner Backhaus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,74
B
4,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.