2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nurnberg
Braunschweig
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Schalke 04
|
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +9 | +0.8 | 24 |
| 2 |
Elversberg
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | -3.0 | 23 |
| 3 |
Paderborn
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | +2.8 | 23 |
| 4 |
Hannover
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +5 | +2.6 | 21 |
| 5 |
Kaiserslautern
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +7 | -0.2 | 19 |
| 6 |
Darmstadt
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | +0.9 | 18 |
| 7 |
Karlsruhe
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | +0.3 | 18 |
| 8 |
Hertha
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | -1.9 | 14 |
| 9 |
Preußen Münster
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | -1.8 | 14 |
| 10 |
Bielefeld
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +3 | +1.7 | 13 |
| 11 |
Holstein Kiel
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +0 | -0.6 | 12 |
| 12 |
Braunschweig
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | -1.1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | -3.5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Greuther Furth
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | -0.2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Nurnberg
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | +0.1 | 9 |
| 16 |
Dresden
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | +1.8 | 7 |
| 17 |
Bochum
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | +1.8 | 7 |
| 18 |
Magdeburg
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | -0.5 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Reichert
G
T. Drexler
D
F. Gruber
D
L. Lochoshvili
D
B. Yilmaz
D
F. O. Becker
M
A. Markhiev
M
R. Lubach
M
J. Justvan
F
A. Stepanov
F
M. A. Zoma
F
Coach: Miroslav Josef Klose
R. Hoffmann
G
M. Aydin
D
K. Ehlers
D
F. Di Michele Sanchez
D
M. Marie
M
F. Flick
M
C. Conteh
M
L. Tempelmann
M
L. Szabo
F
Coach: Heiner Backhaus
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kaiserslautern
Nurnberg
Nurnberg
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Nurnberg
Nurnberg
Hertha
Nurnberg
Bochum
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.