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OBOS-ligaen
Start
T S U S U
2–1
Full-time
Moss
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Moss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
68%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 3. · Moss 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 28 23 5 0 +64 74
2 Kongsvinger 27 14 8 5 +18 50
3 Start 28 14 7 7 +19 49
4 Aalesund 26 13 9 4 +22 48
5 Egersund 26 13 6 7 +12 45
6 Lyn 28 13 5 10 +10 44
7 Sogndal 28 11 7 10 +1 40
8 Ranheim 27 11 6 10 -6 39
9 Odd 28 8 9 11 -7 33
10 Stabaek 28 7 10 11 -1 31
11 hodd 28 8 7 13 -18 31
12 Asane 28 7 9 12 -12 30
13 Raufoss 28 7 8 13 -12 29
14 Moss 28 7 6 15 -23 27
15 Mjondalen 28 5 7 16 -35 22
16 Skeid 28 1 9 18 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Moss
1–0 S. Griesbeck
10′
S. Sjokvist 🟨
11′
29′
L. Rossi 1–1
M. Lassen
2–1 M. Ugland
42′
Half-time 2–1
62′
🔁 H. Vold Krohg
↦ P. Andersen
62′
🔁 A. A. Engesvik
↦ L. Rossi
F. Palerud 🔁
↦ S. Sjokvist
68′
E. Jemal 🔁
↦ H. Lorentzen
68′
72′
🟨 J. Musbaudeen
79′
🔁 W. Kvale
↦ J. Barros
79′
🔁 M. Afonso
↦ T. Jakobsen
83′
🟨 H. Vold Krohg
L. Gausdal 🔁
↦ M. Ugland
87′
87′
🔁 E. Race
↦ J. Musbaudeen
94′
🟨 E. Race
A. Karadas 🟥
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Larsen
4 S. Hansen
13 S. Griesbeck
6 J. Norheim
21 S. Sjokvist
10 S. Mvoue
14 M. Soomets
18 M. Ugland
3 A. Ujkani
20 H. Lorentzen
11 E. Schulze
Bench (9)
24 S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
2 F. Palerud
9 A. Adebayo
15 M. Nordal
17 B. Sundo
27 E. Jemal
29 E. Gono
30 L. Gausdal
40 N. Apland

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
6 M. Lassen
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
23 J. Barros
17 P. Andersen
9 J. Musbaudeen
21 S. Gronli
34 N. Fuglestad
47 L. Rossi
11 T. Jakobsen
Bench (9)
12 J. Sundling
2 M. Cassidy
5 E. Race
8 H. Vold Krohg
15 A. A. Engesvik
19 A. Memedov
24 M. Welinder
46 W. Kvale
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.