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Super League

Referee: Luca Cibelli

Zurich

S T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Lausanne

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

73%

82%

Both score Ø 73%

64%

82%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,21 xG 2,05

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 9. · Lausanne 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	9	1	2	+11	-3.3	28
2	St. Gallen	11	7	0	4	+12	+2.9	21
3	Basel	11	7	0	4	+7	+7.6	21
4	Sion	12	5	3	4	+3	+4.8	18
5	Young Boys	11	5	3	3	-1	-2.7	18
6	Lugano	11	5	1	5	-1	+2.7	16
7	Luzern	11	3	5	3	-1	-2.1	14
8	Servette	12	4	2	6	-4	+0.8	14
9	Zurich	11	4	1	6	-6	+3.3	13
10	Lausanne	11	3	3	5	+3	+4.7	12
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	4	5	-4	-8.8	10
12	Winterthur	12	1	3	8	-19	-9.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-3.9	13
2	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.3	13
3	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
4	Basel	5	4	0	1	+8	+10.0	12
5	Young Boys	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.2	10
6	Lausanne	6	3	0	3	+6	+5.6	9
7	Grasshoppers	6	2	2	2	+3	-2.0	8
8	Servette	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.7	8
9	Sion	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.2	7
10	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
11	Winterthur	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.7	5
12	Luzern	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
3	Luzern	6	3	2	1	+1	-2.9	11
4	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
5	Basel	6	3	0	3	-1	-2.4	9
6	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	-6	-6.0	8
7	Zurich	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
8	Servette	6	2	0	4	-3	+0.1	6
9	Lausanne	5	0	3	2	-3	-1.0	3
10	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.4	3
11	Grasshoppers	5	0	2	3	-7	-6.8	2
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-16	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.