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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Mischa Huru Kellerhals
Aalesund
T U U S U
3–1
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
64%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 3. · Kongsvinger 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 15 10 5 0 +25 35
2 Start 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Aalesund 14 5 8 1 +7 23
4 Odd 15 6 4 5 +2 22
5 hodd 15 6 4 5 -4 22
6 Sogndal 15 6 3 6 +2 21
7 Egersund 14 6 3 5 -1 21
8 Kongsvinger 14 5 5 4 +6 20
9 Ranheim 14 6 2 6 -3 20
10 Raufoss 15 4 7 4 +3 19
11 Moss 15 6 1 8 -9 19
12 Lyn 15 5 3 7 +2 18
13 Asane 15 4 5 6 -5 17
14 Stabaek 15 3 5 7 -9 14
15 Mjondalen 15 2 5 8 -17 11
16 Skeid 15 1 6 8 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Kongsvinger
P. Ngongo 🟨
25′
27′
🟨 A. Dybevik
42′
J. Nilsson 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Christensen
56′
63′
🔁 J. Grundt
↦ H. Holter
63′
🔁 M. Vinjor
↦ N. Williams
D. Johannsson 🔁
↦ O. Gudmundsson
69′
F. Heiselberg 🔁
↦ E. Myrlid
69′
J. Kitolano 🔁
↦ H. Melland
69′
70′
🟨 A. Gorodovoy
76′
🔁 R. Christiansen
↦ L. Haren
2–1 P. Ngongo
D. Johannsson
79′
3–1 M. Christensen
81′
83′
🔁 A. Sandstad
↦ L. Langrekken
83′
🔁 D. Lysgard
↦ J. Nilsson
T. Ytterland 🔁
↦ M. Christensen
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 A. Kjelsen
7 K. Nesso
3 O. Gudmundsson
21 M. Christensen
4 S. Haram
8 H. Melland
6 H. Hammer
16 J. Orsahl
17 E. Myrlid
9 P. Ngongo
Bench (9)
26 T. Larsen
2 M. Andresen
11 D. Johannsson
19 F. Heiselberg
23 E. Froysa
25 J. Kitolano
29 J. Boe
36 T. Ytterland
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
19 E. Nielsen
2 J. Nilsson
5 F. Holme
17 M. Gjerstrom
12 M. Mbow
6 H. Holter
27 A. Dybevik
9 L. Haren
22 L. Langrekken
11 N. Williams
Bench (8)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
3 P. Fjellman
8 J. Grundt
13 M. Flores
20 A. Sandstad
21 D. Lysgard
23 M. Vinjor
28 R. Christiansen

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 15 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.