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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Johan William Grundt
Aalesund
U S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Start
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 54%
50%
57%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
50%
86%
Both score Ø 68%
50%
86%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 5. · Start 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 7 5 2 0 +10 17
2 Odd 7 4 1 2 +4 13
3 Egersund 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Start 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Aalesund 6 3 3 0 +5 12
6 Sogndal 7 4 0 3 +2 12
7 Stabaek 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Kongsvinger 7 3 1 3 +6 10
9 Ranheim 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 hodd 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Raufoss 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Moss 7 3 0 4 -6 9
13 Asane 7 1 3 3 -4 6
14 Lyn 7 1 1 5 -3 4
15 Skeid 7 0 2 5 -8 2
16 Mjondalen 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Start
J. Gregersen 🟨
20′
31′
🟨 L. Gausdal
45′
M. Grundetjern 0–1
Half-time 0–1
J. Seehusen 🟨
57′
O. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ P. Aukland
58′
H. Melland 🔁
↦ J. Gregersen
58′
D. Johannsson 🔁
↦ J. Seehusen
58′
F. Heiselberg 🔁
↦ C. Braga
58′
1–1 F. Heiselberg
D. Johannsson
60′
64′
🟨 S. Mvoue
66′
🔁 T. Strannegard
↦ L. Gausdal
O. Gudmundsson 🟨
75′
J. Kitolano 🔁
↦ M. Andresen
81′
85′
🟨 H. Lorentzen
87′
🔁 A. E. Nilsen
↦ M. Ugland
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

4 S. Haram
1 S. Grytebust
5 A. Kjelsen
45 P. Aukland
2 M. Andresen
66 J. Seehusen
6 H. Hammer
15 J. Gregersen
7 K. Nesso
9 P. Ngongo
10 C. Braga
Bench (9)
26 T. Larsen
3 O. Gudmundsson
8 H. Melland
11 D. Johannsson
19 F. Heiselberg
25 J. Kitolano
29 J. Boe
34 T. Gulbrandsen
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal

Start

1 J. Larsen
4 S. Hansen
13 S. Griesbeck
5 O. Jebali
2 F. Palerud
18 M. Ugland
10 S. Mvoue
30 L. Gausdal
3 A. Ujkani
8 M. Grundetjern
20 H. Lorentzen
Bench (7)
24 S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
16 T. Strannegard
22 A. E. Nilsen
25 T. Benjamin
27 G. Sunday
29 E. Gono
38 S. Jorgensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.