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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Aalesund
U S U U S
3–2
Full-time
Start
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 45%
54%
35%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
62%
73%
Both score Ø 77%
69%
85%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 2. · Start 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 27 18 6 3 +38 60
2 Aalesund 26 14 9 3 +23 51
3 Jerv 26 14 8 4 +6 50
4 Fredrikstad 26 13 6 7 +16 45
5 Sogndal 26 11 7 8 +8 40
6 Asane 27 11 5 11 -8 38
7 KFUM Oslo 25 10 6 9 -3 36
8 Ranheim 27 9 7 11 +0 34
9 Sandnes ULF 27 9 7 11 -7 34
10 Start 26 9 6 11 -1 33
11 Raufoss 27 9 4 14 -3 31
12 Bryne 27 9 4 14 -6 31
13 Grorud 27 8 4 15 -16 28
14 Ull/Kisa 27 6 8 13 -14 26
15 Stjørdals-Blink 26 7 5 14 -18 26
16 Strommen 27 3 12 12 -15 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Start
J. Hatlehol 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
19′
Half-time 0–1
46′
E. Marković 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ S. Sjøkvist
D. Fallman 🟨
49′
51′
🟨 C. Cresswell
52′
🟨 L. Mares
1–1 S. Haugen
61′
65′
M. Ramsland 1–2
Nenass 🔁
↦ N. Hopland
67′
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
67′
2–2 S. Haugen
71′
73′
🟨 H. Robstad
78′
🔁 V. Bergan
↦ C. Cresswell
81′
🔁 M. Moldskred
↦ P. Reinhardsen
84′
🔁 Basilio Ndong
↦ K. Valsvik
3–2 S. Nordli
84′
J. Grønner 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
5 D. Fällman
33 S. Rafn
18 D. Ólafsson
3 Q. Jansen
38 N. Hopland
14 T. Kallevåg
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
22 S. Haugen
9 N. Castro
Bench (9)
16 J. Hatlehol
7 Nenass
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
4 J. Grønner
1 A. Lie
10 M. Brajanac
17 M. Diaw
19 I. Määttä
34 S. Holte

Coach: L. Nilsen

Start

12 A. Wichne
15 H. Robstad
22 K. Tønnessen
14 L. Mares
5 P. Reinhardsen
11 E. Schulze
8 K. Valsvik
10 E. Marković
21 S. Sjøkvist
9 M. Ramsland
20 C. Cresswell
Bench (7)
18 J. Tveita
3 V. Bergan
7 M. Moldskred
30 Basilio Ndong
24 E. Derviskadic
26 J. Torkildsen
36 S. Svela

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.