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Süper Lig

Referee: Umit Ozturk

Kocaelispor

T U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Amedspor

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Amedspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,3

3,0

Conceded

1,2

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 0,60

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 16. · Amedspor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genclerbirligi	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.1	6
2	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.9	4
3	Samsunspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	4
4	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
5	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
6	Gaziantep	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
7	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Amedspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
9	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.9	3
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
12	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
13	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
14	Corum	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
15	Eyüpspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.9	0
16	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
17	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0
18	Erzurumspor	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Amedspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
2	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
5	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
10	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
11	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
15	Corum	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
16	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.5	0
17	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.5	3
3	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Kasimpasa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
7	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Corum	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
9	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
10	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Fenerbahce	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
12	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
13	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
15	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
16	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
17	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.